Abstract
This essay argues that Africa is undergoing changes in
its economies in the 21st century, not only because of the role that
China is playing but owing to intense competition from other Western countries
and the Middle East. China’s role is within the capitalist world economy and
within the patron-client model of integration that the Europeans followed after
African countries achieved their formal independence from colonization. During
the second half of the 20th century, northwest Europe remained the
conduit for African integration into the US-centered global economy, despite
the role of US-based multinational corporations. According to Pew Research
Center polls of African nations, the issue concerning the vast majority of the
people remains the gap between rich and poor. This is directly related to the
international competition for market share in Africa as well as the security
issue intertwined with local rebels groups and what the US labels
Islamic-inspired “terrorism”, or another form of guerrilla warfare. This essay
examines many of these issues for a deep understanding of Africa today and its
future prospects.
Part I: Structural Obstacles
to Development and Social Justice
Decades after the
decolonization of Africa and after Frantz Fanon (Wretched of the Earth) depicted the social, economic, political and
cultural problems associated with the legacy of colonialism there has been no structural
change in the political economy of the 54 African nation-states any more than
in ending endemic poverty as the UN and other organizations have been promising
for decades or closing the rich-poor gap. It is misleading and a remnant of
imperialist political labeling to lump all African countries under one
category, just as it is misleading to place all of Latin American countries in
a single category, although they do have common characteristic and a common
legacy of colonialism and current reality of foreign control of resources and
market share.
There is a huge
difference between South Africa now part of the BRICS (Brazil, Russia, India,
and China) economy, and Somalia ranking as one of the world’s poorest nations
with political instability and dim prospects for economic growth. It is just as difficult to make comparisons
between Islamic North Africa with sub-Sahara Africa, despite political
instability that is a common characteristic in most as the continuation of
foreign economic dependence after the end of colonial rule. With this caveat in
mind, for purposes of this very short essay I will address some common features
and note differences as well in development models.
Apologists of
capitalism argue that Africa’s current problems are strictly cyclical because
the prices of metals, oil and other commodities, especially coffee and cocoa
that have been declining amid a deflationary international climate. While it is
true that the slowdown in commodities demand in China has obviously impacted
Africa, the majority of the people were not better off when prices were rising.
Regardless of capitalism’s expansion and contraction cycles, from the 1950s to
the present, living standards for the African people have not improved, no
matter the lofty claims from Western governments, NGO’s and other organizations
about helping Africa become self-sufficient.
In the second
half of the 20th century, Africa’s division of labor and national
institutions – everything from military to banking and foreign trade - was
largely determined by the core countries - US and northwest Europe - with the
considerable assistance from the International Monetary Fund (IMF), World Bank
and its affiliates, African Development Bank and a number of United Nations
agencies, and of course, the explosion of NGO’s some of which are fully funded
by governments trying to peddle political and economic influence. In short, the
external mechanisms of Africa’s dependence became stronger and more solidified in
the last six decades than they were during the era of colonial rule.
In fact, there
has been a downward trend in living standards for the vast majority of Africans
from 1990 to 2015, despite the remarkable uptrend cycle in commodity prices and
massive new investment from China. This is evident by examining all indicators
from life expectancy to access to clean water and sanitation. There are those
who point to periodic drought primarily in Ethiopia, Kenya, and Somalia; local
wars and rebel conflicts in the drought-stricken countries as well as others
especially where Muslims have influence such as Sudan, Nigeria, and Libya.
Besides endemic
poverty that creates fertile grounds for Islamic or tribal inspired rebel
movements throughout many part of the continent, the population explosion,
corrupt politicians, contraband and informal economy, absence of
infrastructural development, and modern technology to help the continent
achieve capitalist development comparable to that of the West are obstacles to
progress. It is noteworthy that some of the arguments made today on why Africa
cannot catch up with its Western counterparts were also made one hundred years
ago when Africa was under European colonization, with the colonizers blaming
everything but imperialism as the root cause of underdevelopment.
One cause for
the systemic underdevelopment of Africa has been and remains that more capital
flows out than comes in, invariably foreign loans having the role as catalysts
to the process of de-capitalization. The cycle of public foreign debt and
de-capitalization continues across the continent under the watchful eye of the
International Monetary Fund and foreign financial institutions that represent
big banks in the US and Europe and large corporate interests.
It is indeed a
monumental step forward that Africans have served as heads of the United
Nations and in key positions of international organization. From a symbolic
perspective, it was great to see Kofi Annan as the UN secretary-general, but
was Africa better off when he left the UN than when he came in; or was there
any structural change in the political economy of the entire continent from
Egypt to South Africa, from Nigeria to Kenya? Inordinate dependence on the
foreign–dominated and outward-oriented primary sector of production owing to
failure to diversify the economy remains the major obstacles to raising living
standards.
Many observers
of the African political economy argue that there have been success stories,
among them, South Africa freeing itself from white majority political rule
though keeping white majority economic hegemony. With the exception of Israel
and rightwing elements in the US, the entire world celebrated the end of South
Africa’s apartheid a generation ago. Nelson Mandela became a symbol of freedom
and self-determination for Africans. However, high unemployment, low living
standards among blacks, lack of upward mobility, and the rich-poor persisted,
with the country occupying the world’s last place for life expectancy.
Although South
Africa was on its way to catching up with Brazil, India and Russia, enjoying
38% GDP growth in the last decade, this was not indicative of social mobility
but rather capital concentration. In 2015, South Africa suffers unemployment at
the same level as Greece that has been under IMF-EU austerity since 2010.
Socioeconomic and political conditions are worse in the rest of Africa, and
this includes Muslim northern Africa that has suffered US-NATO direct and
indirect military interference in its social uprisings during the Arab Spring
revolts that once represented the promise of a democratic Africa free of
dictators linked to large domestic and foreign capitalists.
Judging from the
unemployment statistics in Africa’s two largest economies, Nigeria and South
Africa, both dependent on extractive industries exports, there is not much
difference between them with all of those natural resources, and Greece
suffering five consecutive years of IMF-EU-imposed austerity and downward
socioeconomic mobility. One could argue that 26.4% unemployment for South
Africa and 24% for Nigeria are understandable owing to the cyclical nature of
the commodities market – both gold and crude oil are sharply down from their
highs, along with all commodities. However, the core issue is not capitalism’s cyclical
contraction, but the high levels of structural unemployment and underemployment
in the continent’s richest countries, as well as the vast income gap between
the very few wealthy individuals and the vast majority of the masses.
Obstacles to
development account for a division of labor that has remained about the same in
the last half century. This is despite reductions in extreme poverty (under two
dollar a day category) in the last two decades. By all indications,
globalization has accounted for the downward mobility of most Africans,
although this may not be as clear when looking at GDP statistics of certain
countries, including South Africa and Nigeria. The world economic structure has
not changed, no matter the rhetoric about globalization and neoliberal policies
uplifting all economies across the world. Just the opposite, the overall
economic picture of Africa is one of steady decline since the 1980s. The
continent’s share of global trade was 3.1% in 1955 in 1990 it was a mere
1.2%.
Largely because
of China as a major new player in the region’s trade, there was a rise after
the recession of the early 1990s, but this too was limited to the primary
sector of production. The China factor did not help the continent lift its GDP
amounting to under $300 billion in 1997 while the debt was $315 billion. This
allowed the IMF to impose austerity and neoliberal measures of privatization,
corporate tax reductions, and trade barrier removals that further weakened the
national economies. The austerity
measures not only prevented upward socioeconomic mobility, but actually drove
more people into lower living standards.
In December
1993,UN secretary-general Boutros-Boutrros Ghali argued that the solution for
Africa’s socioeconomic problems rested with greater integration. In an essay on
this issue, Robert J. Cummings noted that: “From
the 1950sto the present, more than 200 organizations have been founded on the
continent of Africa for the purpose of fostering regional and sub-regional
integration and economic cooperation. The performance record of these myriad
organizations historically have not been sterling.” R. J. Cummings “Africa’s Case for Economic Integration”
(www.HU Archives.net )
The efforts on
the part of the UN, World Bank and other Western institutions and governments
to forge African integration have not lifted altered the dependent structure of
the economy based on the primary sector of production nor have such efforts
resulted in higher living standards and upward social mobility despite some
reduction in poverty in the last two decades. Integration on the patron-client
model is at the core of neo-colonialism in Africa and favors the multinational
corporations, thus perpetuating external dependence and underdevelopment.
The most
significant challenge of Africa in the next few decades will be to transform
itself from a largely "dependent outward-oriented" economy (primary
sector production exports) providing cheap raw materials for the advanced
capitalist countries to an inward-looking (producing to meet domestic demand
through import substitution industrialization) integrated via an
intra-continental model and develops more equitable terms of trade with
developed countries. The uneven terms of trade, the inherent lower value of
African exports vs. its imports from the developed countries has been and
remains a core problem in development.
To achieve the
goal of self-sufficiency Africa would need more than NGOs and UN intervention
that only target emergency areas during war and famine. Africa would need more
than China funding infrastructural development intended to accommodate
extractive mining and agricultural regions, and more than regional integration
that the World Bank has been advocating and without success by its own
admission, and only intended to strengthen the role of multinational
corporations trying to dominate key sectors of the raw materials economy.
In the absence
of a systemic political change, just as took place in England (1689) and France
(1789) that paved the way for economic modernization, Africa cannot achieve its
goal of self-sufficiency no matter the rhetoric by politicians on the continent
or Western organizations like the World Bank and corporations employing the
self-sufficiency rhetoric but operating as imperialists not much different in
results than the colonialists of the 19th century.
(Part II analyzes China's role in Africa)
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